Foresight and avoid painting yourself into a corner

Publicerat 8 December 2017

Did you know that the average CEO only spends about 2% of their time on long-term issues? Maybe you expected it to be more since factors like volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity (VUCA) has made it so much more difficult to make decisions that leads to success in the markets of the future?

Profiting from Future Orientation

All our decisions are about the future and therefore they have to tackle the fundamental problem of its unpredictability. To make matters worse, the unpredictability increases exponentially with the length of the timeframe due to two drivers:

  1. The number of factors to consider and the number of interconnections between them simply grows too large, creating so called “wicked problems”.
  2. The long series of interactions make minimal changes in initial conditions cause very different outcomes due to the so called “butterfly effect”.

This may discourage investing more effort into future thinking, but at the same time research is showing that this is exactly what is needed! The positive effect of future orientation has been confirmed in several studies. One research project, for example, finds that only 6% of firms have a time-horizon longer than 5 years, but nearly all of these ranked high in business performance.

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Jullunch med alumner

Publicerat 5 December 2017

Idag åt vi lunch med alumner från Consultancy Management programmet för två år sedan.

Trevlig första advent!

Publicerat 5 December 2017

 Inför den stundande julledigheten och julklappsinköpen vill vi passar på att tipsa om några av våra och våra vänners favoritböcker. Först ut är ett tips från en start-up som sitter på KTH Innovation och jobbar med AI (Artificiell intelligens), ett av årets mest omdiskuterade ämnen. Boken heter Superintelligence och är skriven av Nick Boström. Trevlig läsning önskar vi och Eatit er alla!

 

Ingenjören Kai Wärn utsedd till Årets ledare 2017

Publicerat 29 November 2017

Stort grattis till Kai Wärn som utsetts till årets ledare 2017. Priset delas ut av tidningen Affärsvärlden till årets mest framstående ledare inom näringsliv, institutioner och myndigheter. Kai Wärn är verkställande direktör på Husqvarna och kan även ses som föreläsare här hos oss på KTH Executive School. Läs en intervju av Kai i Ny Teknik.

Vi har fantastiska produkter och innovation, fantastisk historia, starka vägar till marknaden och vi vill leda och driva den här industrin. Det kan man inte göra om man tjänar 5 procent. Då är man för svag.

Konsekvenser när internet blir vår nya arbetsplats

Publicerat 28 November 2017

Skärmavbild 2017-10-27 kl. 10.10.41

Internetstiftelsen släppte för ett tag sedan sin årliga studie. Det mesta bekräftar det du redan visste. Sammanfattas: Fortsatt ökning mest överallt.

Mer intressant är kanske därför det här:

1. 90 % av alla som jobbar med IT, yrket som redan dominerar storstäderna, jobbar hemifrån ibland. Gränsen kontoret och hemmet suddas ut.

2. Hälften av alla läser sen mail på semestern. Värst är män i åldern 36-45. Å andra sidan använder 80 % av alla nätet på jobbet, för privata ändamål. Gränsen arbete och privatliv suddas också ut.

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How Elon Musk solves problems

Publicerat 24 November 2017

Elon Musk have change the car industry with Tesla, and projects like Hyper loop and SpaceX often reach the news. But in this interview he talks about how he want to change the way we build tunnels for cars by changing the tools and the requirements for the tunnel. It is interesting to see how he adress a problem and how he step-by-step working towards a solution. Look at the interview about 3D tunnels and the future for Elon Musk.

You drop the diameter by a factor of two and the cross-sectional area by a factor of four, and the tunneling cost scales with the cross-sectional area. So that’s roughly a half-order of magnitude improvement right there. Then tunneling machines currently tunnel for half the time, then they stop, and then the rest of the time is putting in reinforcements for the tunnel wall. So if you design the machine instead to do continuous tunneling and reinforcing, that will give you a factor of two improvement. Combine that and that’s a factor of eight.

How Elon Musk solves problems

Publicerat 24 November 2017

Elon Musk have change the car industry with Tesla, and projects like Hyper loop and SpaceX often reach the news. But in this interview he talks about how he want to change the way we build tunnels for cars by changing the tools and the requirements for the tunnel. It is interesting to see how he adress a problem and how he step-by-step working towards a solution. Look at the interview about 3D tunnels and the future for Elon Musk.

You drop the diameter by a factor of two and the cross-sectional area by a factor of four, and the tunneling cost scales with the cross-sectional area. So that’s roughly a half-order of magnitude improvement right there. Then tunneling machines currently tunnel for half the time, then they stop, and then the rest of the time is putting in reinforcements for the tunnel wall. So if you design the machine instead to do continuous tunneling and reinforcing, that will give you a factor of two improvement. Combine that and that’s a factor of eight.

Miljardsatsning på forskning om artificiell intelligens på KTH

Publicerat 21 November 2017

Stort grattis till initiativet Wallenberg Autonomous Systems and Software Program (WASP), där KTH ingår, som fått ett rejält kapitaltillskott. Knut och Alice Wallenbergs stiftelse (KAW) bidrar sammanlagt med 1 miljard kronor.

Danica Kragic, Professor
Director, Centre for Autonomous systems
Vice Dean, School of Computer Science and Communication

AI-satsningen kan delas upp i två delar. Den större delen innebär en satsning på maskininlärning, djupinlärning och nästa generations AI (eXplainable AI). Det andra delen handlar om att öka förståelsen för matematiken bakom AI.

– Vi kommer att fokusera på områden som gagnar Sverige både kort- och långsiktigt. Dessa områden kommer att identifieras successivt och tillsammans med de som behöver denna typ av forskning. Inom områden som vi inte är tillräckligt starka inom kommer vi att rekrytera internationellt forskare med stort kunnande, säger Danica Kragic Jensfelt.

Läs mer här.

Sustainable vs. profitable – carefully walking the ridge

Publicerat 20 November 2017

The transformation into a sustainable society is one of the toughest challenges facing humanity. Even with a consensus regarding the need to decrease and prevent the negative impact on the environment, many strategic considerations remain. Choosing strategies (what should be done?) as well as tactics (how should it be done?) wisely, may significantly improve success rates. Doing the right thing has though been shown, even with the best intentions, to be very difficult. The challenge is exceptionally complex and encompasses very intricate considerations and judgements. There is a need to categorize and illustrate possible routes in a simplified way to facilitate evaluation and communication.

ny-bild-81

Analyzing potential and investments made within cleantech, two major categories surface:  sustainable technologies that are presently not profitable or competitive on their own merits and incremental improvements decreasing the negative impact of well established technologies. Läs mer

Sustainable vs. profitable – carefully walking the ridge

Publicerat 20 November 2017

The transformation into a sustainable society is one of the toughest challenges facing humanity. Even with a consensus regarding the need to decrease and prevent the negative impact on the environment, many strategic considerations remain. Choosing strategies (what should be done?) as well as tactics (how should it be done?) wisely, may significantly improve success rates. Doing the right thing has though been shown, even with the best intentions, to be very difficult. The challenge is exceptionally complex and encompasses very intricate considerations and judgements. There is a need to categorize and illustrate possible routes in a simplified way to facilitate evaluation and communication.

ny-bild-81

Analyzing potential and investments made within cleantech, two major categories surface:  sustainable technologies that are presently not profitable or competitive on their own merits and incremental improvements decreasing the negative impact of well established technologies. Läs mer